Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 278.949236 315.828051 356.980618 406.532132 464.875727 531.751536 614.728991
2025-01-26 232.311337 282.591678 343.997696 425.475710 532.213060 669.366928 862.399620
2025-02-02 210.307114 268.282004 343.518155 450.310663 601.346624 812.648120 1140.613975
2025-02-09 187.057529 247.256735 329.049663 451.363648 635.177732 910.787816 1375.351812
2025-02-16 165.771496 225.338113 309.277309 440.206036 647.066317 975.905086 1571.340721
2025-02-23 149.502278 208.185260 293.540629 431.720245 660.058363 1042.977614 1784.534321
2025-03-02 140.738651 200.736918 290.816088 442.248817 704.342589 1169.291612 2137.412066
2025-03-09 130.841957 190.411047 282.271302 441.761032 729.120203 1264.890313 2456.332863
2025-03-16 120.512315 178.355083 269.585204 432.390276 736.069274 1327.508632 2722.688692
2025-03-23 113.512454 170.875476 263.441834 433.350228 761.896895 1431.901409 3116.294211
2025-03-30 105.511024 161.063957 252.417723 424.082681 766.256084 1492.079401 3421.263751
2025-04-06 99.550626 154.117035 245.578089 421.609864 783.644957 1583.894300 3841.187134
2025-04-13 91.065385 142.481044 229.913578 401.289394 762.337891 1586.433397 4023.380568
2025-04-20 89.183234 141.980380 233.922588 419.686734 827.217186 1809.791408 4965.283135
2025-04-27 88.208010 142.929128 240.567203 444.124621 910.068624 2101.320538 6291.855283
2025-05-04 84.222936 138.195940 236.187138 445.157715 938.579889 2256.348051 7226.955680
2025-05-11 79.130638 131.093078 226.700854 434.189130 936.136393 2323.781877 7862.180967
2025-05-18 74.784952 125.070498 218.819925 425.846203 938.998836 2408.217950 8625.530545
2025-05-25 72.861304 123.406879 219.325954 436.197405 991.940212 2662.463303 10346.047766
2025-06-01 69.926916 119.632019 215.295599 435.717859 1015.995962 2831.552412 11792.051813
2025-06-08 66.337922 114.381804 207.871118 426.504977 1014.492993 2914.203619 12848.011428
2025-06-15 63.989972 111.384257 204.853031 427.448792 1042.081273 3109.233202 14748.748465
2025-06-22 60.875745 106.706057 197.989270 418.336676 1038.893699 3190.495947 16021.629648